“My forecasts on Reaching full autonomous guide was optimistic in the past “, Musk admitted to investors In 2023. “I am the boy who cried FSD.” It certainly has it. Many times. In fact, Musk has a long history of overflowing predictions promised and dissatisfied on his business – and it is a habit that seems difficult to break.
On the Tesla Useful calls With investors in late April, Elon Musk reported Seemed offended while he was forced to recognize a painful 71 drip dip In profits. On the defensive and apparently grabbing the positive rotation among the results of Di, Musk promised something non -plausible: the car manufacturer would become the main robotics company in the world, which inaugurated the “Which is closer to paradise we can climb to earth. “(Since then he has doubled on this, stating that the question for his robots will be insatiableAnd at the beginning of this month he said that the robots will numbered in Tens of billions And be as “your personal C-3po or R2-D2, but even better”.
On the call, despite Sales all over the world For cars who age his company e Cratering request for cybertuckMusk has lengthened the “future for Tesla is bright than never”. Eliminates the precipitous fall of sales as simply “short -term winds”, urge investors to ignore non -autonomous flesh and evaluate the “company value” on the “supply of sustainable abundance with our robots at affordable prices.
However, even if Musk has a long history of broken promises, investors seemed calmed down by stories of crushing the market domain for Tesla, not as the car manufacturer, but like the Robotics behemoth Musk says he will soon become.
Wired examined the story of Musk’s commitments on everything, from full guide, hyperloop, robotasses and, yes, robot armies, in order to remind ourselves, to its fans and investors such as reality in the world of Elon rarely combines with rhetoric. From a direct point of view, Musk’s Fallback forecasts of “next year” present themselves repeatedly, just to be proven wrongly.
“My predictions have a good performance experience,” Musk said to Tesla. Meeting to all hands in March. Here is a chronological look at that record track.
19 years of broken promises
August 2006: False Start
“” “”[Our] The long -term plan is to build a wide range of models, including family car at cheap prices, “wrote Elon Musk in Tesla Secret Master Plan Hosted on the Tesla website 19 years ago. “When someone buys the Tesla Roadster,” he added, “are actually helping to pay for the development of the low -cost family car.”
In Master Plan, share twoWritten 10 years after the first floor, Musk reiterated that even if Tesla had not yet delivered 2006, he had yet planned to build a car “at affordable and high volume prices”. 2016 came and came without an entry-level car. In January of this year, Musk said …Finally– It would begin to produce the model at affordable prices in the second half of 2025.
However, in April, Reported Reuters That Tesla had demolished the plans for the economic family car. Moss Posted on x That “Reuters is lying (again)”, arousing the response of Reuters that “[Musk] Has not identified any specific inaccuracy. “Ha The source of Tesla told Reuters That instead of the long -lasting economic family car, “Elon’s directive is to go to Robotaxi”.
August 2013: Hyperloop Hype
While not possessed any of the Hyperloop companies directly, in A 58 -page white booklet Entitled “Hyperloop Alpha”, Musk wrote of a “new form of transport open source that could revolutionize travel”. He did not do it. Tea Hyperloop Waast Closed in 202310 years after his first proposal. Still promising That hyperloop could go from Boston to New York City “in less than half an hour”.
A form of magnetic levitation (Maglev) capsules in An Air-Evacuated Steel Tube On Stilts, Hyperloop was described on the company’s Website as being an “Ultra-High-Speed Public Transportation System in Which Passengers Travel in Autonomous Electric Pods at 600+ Miles for Hour. This Description Has Since Been Removed But Was Documented by Electrek. Tesla and Spacex World engineers on Hyperloop for two years before the project Hired by other companies In 2017.
