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How the supercalcuting will evolve, according to Jack Dongarra

The Forge Bulletin - Technology - August 5, 2025
How the supercalcuting will evolve, according to Jack Dongarra
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Quantum IT is interesting. It is really a wonderful area for research, but my feeling is that we have a long way to go. Today, we have examples of Manum’s computers – the hardware is still before the software, but these examples are Beard. With a digital computer, we think of making a calculation and grading an answer. The Quantum computer will rather give us a probability distribution where the answer is located, and you will make a number of, we will call it executing on the quantum computer, and this will give you a certain number of potential solutions to the problem, but that will not give you the answer. So it will be different.

With quantum computing, are we taken in a moment of media threshing?

I think unfortunately, there was too much media threshing associated with Quantum. The result of this is generally that people will all be enthusiastic about this, then he does not respect any of the promises that have been made, then the excitement will collapse.

We have already seen it: AI has crossed this cycle and has recars. And now Totay Ai is a real thing. People use it, it is productive and it will serve a purification for all of us in a very substantial way. I think that Quantum must go through winter, where people will be discouraged by this, they will ignore it, then there are brilliant people who live how to use it and how to do it to be more competitive with traditional things.

There are many problems that must have come out in the world. Quantum computers are very easy to disturb. They will have a lot of “faults” – they will decompose due to the nature of the fragile of the calculation. Until we can make things more resistant to these failures, it will not quite do the work we can do. I don’t think we will never have a laptop that is a quantum laptop. I may be wrong, but I certainly don’t think it will happen during my lifetime.

Quantum computers also need quantum algorithms, and Toray we have very few algorithms that can be effectively executed on a quantum computer. Quantum IT is therefore in its infancy, and with this the infrastructure that will use the quantum computer. I know quantum algorihms, quantum software, the techniques we have, all of these elements are very primitive.

When can we expect – if ever – the transition of traditional systems to quantum systems?

So, today, we have many supercompute centers around the world, and they have very powerful computers. They are digital computers. Sometimes the digital computer is increased by something to improve performance – an accelerator. Toray These accelerators are GPUs, graphic processing units. The GPU does something very well, and he does this thing well, he was architecture to do it. In the past, it was important for graphics; Today, we are removing this so that we can use a GPU to satisfy some of the calculation sears that we have.

TAGS: #Artificial intelligence#China#quantum calculation#science#Super-manager
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